48,000 BTU (4-ton) Heat Pumps: Which One to Buy

A 48,000 BTU heat pump is a 4-ton system. By the common rule of one ton per 400 to 500 sq ft, it suits about 1,600 to 2,000 sq ft. For a home with ducts, buy the Goodman GLZS4BA4810 + AMST48CU1300 ($4,910.07 on Amazon) and have a licensed installer fit it. Goodman's warranty depends on that.

Goodman GLZS4BA4810 + AMST48CU1300

Our pick at 4 tons

Goodman GLZS4BA4810 + AMST48CU1300

$4,910.07 on Amazon

Check price on Amazon
  • Outdoor unit + air handler: the pairing its certified rating is for.
  • Rated 15.2 SEER2 and 7.8 HSPF2 (AHRI), above the federal floor for heat pumps in every region (14.3 SEER2, 7.5 HSPF2).
  • On a 5°F day it still makes 20,000 BTU of heat, 43% of its rating at 47°F. Plan backup heat for colder days.

Need something different?

  • Keeping your indoor unit

    Goodman GLZS4BA4810

    Outdoor unit only, $1,741.07 less. Your installer confirms your indoor unit matches it.

    $3,169 on Amazon
  • No ducts

    Cooper & Hunter 48,000 BTU floor/ceiling

    A single-zone mini-split for one big open area, no ducts needed: 19.8 SEER2 and 38,500 BTU of heat at 5°F, certified by AHRI. Needs an installer.

    $5,369.99 on Amazon

What you get at 4 tons

4 tons is one of the sizes with the widest choice: hundreds of systems are certified at 4 tons, from basic units like this Goodman to variable-speed cold-climate models. Our pick is the low-cost end; the certified table at the bottom of the page lists the rest.

No ducts in the space? One 48,000 BTU ductless unit, like the Cooper & Hunter above, can heat and cool a single big open area, such as a shop or a great room. It cannot reach closed-off rooms.

One size down, the 3.5-ton Goodman system (Goodman GLZS4BA4210 + AMST42CU1300) costs $4,333, $577.07 less, for about 1,400 to 1,750 sq ft, and makes 20,000 BTU of heat at 5°F. One size up, the 5-ton system (Goodman GLZS4BA6010 + AMST60DU1300) costs $5,643.27, for about 2,000 to 2,500 sq ft, and makes 27,600 BTU at 5°F. Pick the size the load calculation gives, not the price.

Replacing a unit? The size is in the old outdoor unit's model number: 48 means 4 tons.

Will it keep up in winter?

Cold winters? This Goodman makes 20,000 BTU of heat at 5°F, while half the ducted 4-ton heat pumps certified make 36,600 or more. It will lean on backup heat more than most; in a cold climate, ask the installer to price a cold-climate model from the table below too.

What it costs

How you buy itTypical price
Outdoor unit only, on Amazonfrom $3,169
Outdoor unit + air handler, on Amazonfrom $4,910.07
Ducted heat pump, 4-ton, installed by a contractor$11,000 to $20,000

Amazon prices read today. Installed prices are U.S. typical for a replacement on existing ducts, equipment, labor and permit together (published 2026 data, compiled July 2026).

Questions buyers ask

How much does a 4-ton heat pump cost?
$3,169 to $4,910.07 on Amazon for the Goodman listings here, and typically $11,000 to $20,000 installed by a contractor.
Will a 4-ton heat pump heat a 2,000 sq ft house?
By the rule of thumb, 4 tons suits about 1,600 to 2,000 sq ft. Our pick makes 46,000 BTU of heat at 47°F and 20,000 at 5°F, so in a cold climate it needs backup heat on the coldest days. The load calculation says how much.
Is there a 4-ton heat pump with no ducts?
Yes, for one open area: the Cooper & Hunter 48,000 BTU floor/ceiling mini-split, $5,369.99 on Amazon today. It needs an installer.
Do I need a variable-speed 4-ton heat pump?
Not always. A single-stage unit runs at full speed or off, which is fine in a mild climate on a tight budget. A two-stage or variable-speed unit runs longer at low speed: the temperature stays more even, it pulls more humidity out in summer, and it usually keeps more heat at 5°F. It costs more to buy.
Can I buy a heat pump online and install it myself?
You can buy it online, but a licensed installer has to fit it: charging the refrigerant needs EPA Section 608 certification. Goodman says it gives no warranty on equipment a homeowner buys online unless the unit is installed by a dealer who follows all federal, state and local codes and licensing rules.

Every certified 4-ton heat pump (746)

The systems below are certified at about 48,000 BTU, ducted and ductless, most sold through contractors. If an installer quotes one, find it here to check its efficiency and how much heat it keeps on a 5°F day. The table shows the 20 with the highest HSPF2; the full product list has all 746.

Brand & model HSPF2 Capacity Heat at 5°F$/MMBtu Buy
1HVAC ACIQ-48ZPL-HP230B 12.0 4 ton 50,000 BTU $15.69 installer
SLIMAIR SHC48VH2AG 12.0 4 ton 50,000 BTU $15.69 installer
MDV MOE30U-48HFN1-M-[X] 12.0 4 ton 50,000 BTU $15.69 installer
MDV MOE30U-48HFN1-M-[X](GA) 12.0 4 ton 50,000 BTU $15.69 installer
MDV MOE30U-48HFN1-M-[X](GA)-L 12.0 4 ton 50,000 BTU $15.69 installer
Lennox MLB048S4S-1P 12.0 4 ton 50,000 BTU $15.69 installer
Lennox MLB048S4S-2P 12.0 4 ton 50,000 BTU $15.69 installer
Custom Comfort CCOXHASZ48CHP 12.0 4 ton 50,000 BTU $15.69 installer
Mitsubishi Electric MXZ-SM48NLHZ 11.5 4 ton 54,000 BTU $16.37 installer
Mitsubishi Electric PUMY-HL48NKMU 11.5 4 ton 54,000 BTU $16.37 installer
Carrier 37MGHAQ48FA3 11.3 4 ton 47,000 BTU $16.66 installer
Midea D5CMHAH48FAK 11.3 4 ton 47,000 BTU $16.66 installer
TOSHIBA CARRIER MCY-MUB0488HS2P-UL 11.3 4 ton 38,000 BTU $16.66 installer
MDV M6OE31-48HFN10-M1X 11.3 4 ton 47,000 BTU $16.66 installer
1HVAC ACIQ-48Z-HH-M6C 11.0 4 ton 47,000 BTU $17.12 installer
AI AIR CONDITIONING A6MO23-48N2-M1H 11.0 4 ton 48,000 BTU $17.12 installer
AI AIR CONDITIONING ASO25-48N2-M2H 11.0 4 ton 47,500 BTU $17.12 installer
MAINLINE ML48HP230LCMH-O 11.0 4 ton 47,500 BTU $17.12 installer
MAINLINE ML48HP230MULH-O 11.0 4 ton 48,000 BTU $17.12 installer
Bosch BMS500-AAM048-1CSXHD 11.0 4 ton 47,000 BTU $17.12 installer

Capacity and efficiency are AHRI-certified values; $/MMBtu is computed by us from EIA energy prices — see methodology. Heat at 5°F is the number that decides whether a heat pump keeps up in real cold, and most listings omit it.